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Foxes and Rabbits

24 April 06

 For Comments, go here.

Are innovation activities dangerous and distracting for many large companies?  An executive in a large technology company expressed this perspective in responding to a previous update on innovation governance.  

 

He sees the corporate world in terms of foxes and rabbits.  Foxes are large corporations, who grow by hunting rabbits, the smaller companies that have innovated.  He explained:

 

Think about rabbits and foxes.  Foxes hunt rabbits and rabbits eat vegetables.  Foxes don’t have the stomach to eat vegetables. …

 

The same thing applies to corporations.  Some corporations are like foxes, they eat companies that live on innovation.  

 

Some companies don’t have the stomach to innovate … In general, large corporations get serious indigestion when trying to innovate.  If they spend too much effort innovating and stop paying attention to their larger predators (Wall Street), they will be prey.    

 

The small corporations, like rabbits, have a fast life.  Live quick, reproduce in high numbers. Die in large numbers. 

 

Most of the rabbits (fast clock-speed organisms), are simply digested and assimilated into larger corporations [via acquisition]… .

 

            This comment colorfully describes an approach to corporate innovation based on acquisition rather than development.  According to this view, large companies don’t need to develop innovative capabilities themselves – they can buy the products of other innovative companies and then use the large-scale assets that they have (like distribution channels) to gain the returns from innovation and justify the high prices they pay for buying innovation.

 

            There have been a number of research findings and product announcements that provide support for some aspects of this view:

 

bullet Ineffectiveness in R&D spending.  Many large companies are not getting the benefits from R&D spending that they should.  A 2005 analysis by Booz Allen Hamilton found no relationship between company growth and the amount that they spend on research and development.  The 2006 IBM survey of CEOs found that internal R&D was an infrequent source of innovative ideas – only 17 percent of all CEOs mentioned it as one of their top three sources. 

 

bullet Better distribution beats better technology.  A recent research paper by Stanford’s Timothy Bresnahan and Harvard’s Pai-Ling Yin looks at the adoption rate of internet browsers (like Netscape Navigator and Internet Explorer) during the “browser wars” of the 1990s.  Looking at both the pace of adoption of new versions of the browsers and the brand choice made by users, Bresnahan and Yin concluded that "distribution played a larger role than did technical progress in determining the market outcomes.”   Bigger companies usually have the distribution structure in place, giving them an advantage over new companies in many new products or services.  This is why fox-like innovation acquisition strategies, like those of Johnson & Johnson, for example, make sense.

 

bullet Large companies are outsourcing their innovation.  Pfizer’s Exubera, the first inhalable insulin, was developed by a small California firm called Nektar Therapeutics.  Pfizer invested over $1 billion to buy manufacturing assets to make the product, and pays royalties (at 15% of sales) to Nektar for the original innovation.

 

These examples and findings demonstrate two things:

 

·        Large corporations can bring scale advantages to product and service innovation.  A company like Nektar Therapeutics benefits greatly from using the sales and distribution assets that Pfizer already has in place.

 

·        The traditional source of innovation in large corporations, R&D, is becoming eclipsed by other innovation providers, such as collaborators, employees, and customers. 

 

One thing they don’t show is that innovation itself leads to corporate “indigestion.”  In fact, companies like Pfizer are pursuing both “rabbit” and “fox” approaches to innovation – at the same time that Pfizer is licensing in new products, it is also the second largest R&D spender in the world, according to Booz Allen Hamilton.

 

It’s quite evident, however, that innovation efforts at most large companies are performing well below expectations.  In survey after survey, the majority of CEOs around the world express frustration and dis-satisfaction with the results of their company’s innovation efforts.  

 

This may by one of the sources for the “rabbits and foxes” view of the innovation world.  There is an understandable temptation to explain the history of poor innovation performance as a function of size or of the general nature of a large corporate environment.

 

But that explanation is inaccurate.  As a range of large innovative companies, from Toyota to IBM to Starbucks, demonstrate, this perspective does not apply as a generalization.  Rather than leaving innovation to the smaller rabbits of the world, there’s a major opportunity for many large companies in improving their own innovation performance. 

 

More Information:

 

  1. The recent ICE Update on Innovation Governance is here.
  2. Pai-Ling Yin was interviewed about her “Browser Wars” study by Harvard’s Working Knowledge on 10 April 06.  The interview is here.  The Bresnahan / Yin working paper is here.
  3. I wrote an ICE Update on Pfizer’s Exubera on 13 Feb 06.  It’s here.
  4. The Booz Allen Hamilton Study is titled “Money Isn’t Everything,” and was published in December 2005.  Its authors were Barry Jaruzelski, Kevin Dehoff, and Rakesh Bordia.  Here’s a link to the results of the study.
  5. The press release highlighting the main findings of the 2006 IBM Survey is here.
  6. Drop me a note if you’d like the full text of “The Parable of Rabbits and Foxes.”

 

Comments

Very interesting. Glad you noted Toyota.

The rabbit-fox thing is very Anglo culture bound.

As we get global, the core innovation question is "what is a company?"

That helps us see where innovation really comes from - it is almost never contained within the walls of a "company".

Americans have a very single-company view. Most global business is not conducted this way (see Prahalad - Pyramid. See the communist-capitalism in China. See keiretsu. See kaebal. See social laws in Europe. etc.)

Innovation is clearly a social process first, and then later a commercial process. Commercial activity is much smaller than social activity.

Most unproductive R&D is really overhead spending - not experimentation.

See Thomas Edison v. GE. See changes in Cisco in 2001. See Microsoft and Intel failed introductions of new products not on core.

Americans still have a mental picture of "business" as separate from "society". When in truth business is simply one of the many manifestations of social behavior. Toyota sees this clearly. Microsoft and GM do not.

Innovation is unbounded. Companies are artificial fences of the mind.

 

At risk of taking the parable too far…

 

The evolution should be…

1.      Rabbits that either stay nimble and move faster than any predator

2.      Rabbits that learn how to be large and still stay away from predators (Wall Street’s impatience)

3.      Foxes that make rabbit farms (still a nomad culture, that erodes the land and moves on)

4.      Dogs (not foxes) that efficiently eat vegetables and rabbits (Toyota, Starbucks, IBM)

5.      Alligators that live 10x more than foxes and 100x more than Rabbits

 

Finally, I agree with you.  My explanation is only ‘descriptive’ and not ‘prescriptive’.   That the world is fatalistically the way it is does not mean we should remain passive.    Each ones has an evolution path…

-          Gen2 Rabbits

-          Dogs, omnivorous

-          Foxes with farms

-          Alligators fearless king of the swamp  

 

So it will be the survival of the fittest

 

All of which, only explains evolution; as much as Darwin only explains the transformation of the species and not the creation of a new species.  This whole fable does not explain innovation in itself. 

 

I believe that the central most important problem of innovation is a kernel and has to be studied with big words, such as ontology, psychology, genesis, genius.    Howard Gardner, from Harvard http://www.pz.harvard.edu/PIs/HG.htm  describes the ‘smarts’.  I think he missed one, which is precisely innovation/creativity/disruption.  Some people have it and some others just don’t.  It is orthogonal to the other smarts.    You may want to talk to Howard about that.

 

 

 

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